There are roughly 39 acceptable ways one can argue that a particular presidential candidate is taking off or tanking.
Polls are great, but it’s also about half a year until voting begins in the Democratic primaries — and polling leads can and will keep changing (a huge number of Democratic voters say they haven’t definitively made up their minds on who they’ll vote for next year). Debate performances or media attention can tell you something, but it’s never clear how long that something’ll last. Crowd size is interesting, but who is going to be the scientist to go out and count all of the people at all of the events for two dozen Democratic presidential candidates.
Then there’s money. There are loads of smart ways of looking at how much money presidential candidates are pulling in and what they’re doing with it. One of the most interesting things we’ve spotted in looking over the new financial data campaigns made public this week is how many individual donors gave to a candidate on any given day — data that show concretely how excited people have been about particular candidates for the first half of this year.
So we’ve pulled that data into a series of charts. (For the data, code, and methodology supporting the analysis, click here.) This information isn’t perfect (it, for instance, only includes donors who gave cumulatively more than $200, due to the Federal Election Commission disclosure requirements). But it does give a really clear sense of which candidates have been able to build and sustain enthusiasm from supporters this year.
For a number of the candidates, you’ll see a bump at the very start of their campaigns and at the end of the financial quarters (when campaigns send those hyperaggressive, apologetic emails to their voter lists begging for money because it is AN EMERGENCY). The first financial quarter finished at the end of March, and the second closed at the end of June, just a few days after the first debates.
There are a few things that stand out. One is that even though there are two dozen Democrats running, only a very small handful (like six) have been able to get and keep a mass of people excited about their campaigns.
Joe Biden’s campaign had a giant spike on his first day in the race, when approximately 3,390 of his medium and large donors gave to his campaign — no other day hit 1,000, and all of his top 10 days came at the beginning of his candidacy or at the end of the quarter (his campaign has the highest number of donors giving the maximum amount of money for any Democratic campaign, which helps).
Beto O’Rourke’s best day was by far also his first, when he got close to 4,000 unique donors — and the last days of the first and second quarters have been the closest that he’s come since then.
Pete Buttigieg’s campaign had a quiet start in early January, and then started gaining donor interest after a March CNN town hall; this led to a giant spike on the day he formally launched his campaign in April and another after his first debate.
Kamala Harris had her biggest day right after she dominated the first debate.
Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders have each had large spikes throughout the year, with Sanders in particular having a massive day at the end of the quarter.
The most impressive campaigns here largely line up with the current polling leaders. You can also clearly see the campaigns that are losing steam, or have struggled to get much of it to begin with.
One of the best ways to cool off each summer is by heading to the beach. The sand, the sun, the water, it all makes for a great day!
However, one serious pest is keeping swimmers out of the water in Virginia Beach.
That’s because lifeguards say they’ve had many reports of people getting stung by sea lice.
If you’ve never heard of sea lice, you’re not alone. Also known as seabathers or thimble jellyfish, these tiny creatures can cause a rash with itchy and burning bumps, which appears about 24 hours after being exposed to them.
The rash is caused by numerous tiny stings from the jellyfish, which as you can imagine, is not pleasant. You’ll feel a “prickling” sensation while you’re in the water if you do get attacked by the sea lice.
Beaches that are affected will most likely have signs which risk levels, letting you know if there is an increase in sea lice.
Sea lice aren’t venomous, so as long as you go see a doctor soon after coming in contact, you should be fine.
Last year the flesh-eating sea bugs attacked an Australian teen’s legs
This is a relief to 16-year-old Sam Kanizay from Melbourne, Australia, after his feet began pouring blood from just 30 minutes in the water.
Kanizay had just finished playing soccer with his friends when he headed to the beach for a bit of a rest. He lowered his legs into the water to soothe his sore muscles, but 30 minutes later his rest turned into a nightmare.
“I walked out of the water, saw what I thought was sand covering my ankles below my calf, shook it off quite violently, and it came off,” he told local news. “By the time I walked across the sand, about 20 meters to put my thongs [flip-flops] on… I looked down and noticed that I had blood all over my ankles and feet.”
Kanizay went to get his parents, and they soon realized that the bleeding wasn’t about to stop. The family rushed to the hospital, but even doctors were confused. They tried to stop the bleeding multiple times, but it kept flowing from the hundreds of pinhole-size bites on the teen’s feet and legs.
Sam’s dad, Jarrod, decided to go and figure out what had cause the bleeding in the first place. He returned to where his son was injured and submerged some raw meat into the water. He collected thousands of mites and took video of the creatures.
They were later identified as sea lice, and due to their anti-coagulation properties, Sam’s body couldn’t stop his feet from bleeding.
Richard Reina, an associate professor at Monash University’s School of Biological Sciences says these tiny creatures aren’t to be feared.
“It’s a bit like if you allowed hundreds of mosquitoes to keep feeding on your arm for half an hour — you’d get an extreme reaction then too, but it’s not something that people normally do,” Reina wrote.
Kanizay made a full recovery, but I think it’s safe to say he wouldn’t wish his experience on anyone.
I love summer and letting my dogs play in the pool or swim at the lake is a big part of that.
I recently learned that there is something called water intoxication, or hyponatremia, and it is a potentially fatal condition that commonly affects dogs who love water-based play.
If you have a dog that loves to play in the water, it is important to know what water intoxication looks like, and what you should do about it.
We all know that when it’s warm outside, we need to keep our dogs well hydrated. That means water and shade readily available. While most of us know about dehydration,I had never thought about the opposite. What happens to our dogs if they become overhydrated? I wasn’t even aware that this could be a problem.
- Most dog owners are more concerned about a dehydrated pet than one that is hyper-hydrated. But the fact is some dogs can ingest dangerous amounts of water in a short period of time.
Water intoxication, resulting in hyponatremia, is a relatively rare but potentially fatal condition that is most commonly seen in dogs that love to play in the water. Retrieving items thrown into the water and competing with other retrieving dogs is one way a pet can ingest a large quantity of water very quickly. Another way is “catching” pressurized water from a garden hose or sprinkler.
According to Dr. Becker of Healthy Pets, when the sodium concentration in extracellular fluid drops, the cells start filling with water as the body attempts to balance the sodium levels inside the cells with falling levels outside the cells. This inflow of water causes the cells – including those in the brain – to swell. The central nervous system can also be affected.
Dogs suffering from water intoxication may show the following symptoms:
- Loss of balance and coordination
- Profuse salivation
- Glazed eyes
- Breathing difficulties
- Loss of consciousness
Anybody with a water loving dog knows that dogs can consume a massive amount of water in a short period of time. That being said, water intoxication can progress quickly.
If your dog shows signs of water intoxication it’s critical to seek veterinary attention right away.
Veterinary treatments include IV of electrolytes, diuretics, and medication to reduce swelling, particularly in the brain. If veterinary care is given early enough, some dogs recover well from water intoxication, however the reality is many do not.
Any dog can develop hyponatremia, however, the condition is most commonly seen in dogs who will stay in the lake, pond or pool all day if you let them; pets that lap or bite at the water continuously while playing in it; and dogs that swallow water unintentionally as they dive for a ball or other toy.
Water intoxication can affect any size or breed of dog, but smaller dogs probably show symptoms more quickly because it takes less time for an excessive amount of water to build up in their bodies.
If your dog loves the water – let them have fun! Just make sure that the fun they have is safe and well monitored.
These past few weeks haven’t been easy for all the various members of the Chapman family.
Beth was an important member of the family and losing her is undoubtedly tough.
It’s been nearly one month since Beth Chapman lost her battle to cancer. Leland Chapman and his wife, Jamie Pilar Chapman, have been making the best out of a tough situation.
In a touching post on Instagram, Jamie captioned this image:
“My little family! I couldn’t tell you how blessed I am to have each & every one of them in my life! I love them & I would die for them. They all make me so proud! This right here, this is what completes me. My heart is full because of them💕 I love you kiddos always till the end of time😘”
On Friday, July 12, Jamie revealed that everyone had come together to celebrate Beth’s life in Colorado. She captioned it: “The crew ❤️”
Now Beth’s stepson Leland is paying tribute to the lost bounty hunter in his own touching Instagram post.
“I still can’t believe she’s gone. She would have been thrilled to see this. Family, friends, fans all coming together to honor her legacy. I want to say thank you to everyone for your well wishes and prayers for my family. I want to say thank you to everyone who helped put on and put together her beautiful memorial. I also want to thank my family for coming together and helping my dad and each other through this time. I know she’s proud, so thank you again from the bottom of my heart.”
Baby Lyssa shared a throwback pic with the simple word “Forever ❤️” that spoke volumes.
Since Beth’s passing, Leland has been open about the loss, but made it clear that he plans to keep Beth’s memory alive by continuing the fight for justice. Leland is the son of Duane “Dog” Chapman and La Fonda Sue Honeycutt so Beth was his stepmother.
On July 10 Leland participated in his first manhunt since Beth’s death and seriously hurt himself, landing in hospital. This happened while chasing alleged fugitive Edward Morales in Adams County, Colorado. Leland tore his ACL, a family spokesperson confirmed Wednesday to AL.com, adding that the injury will require surgery.
In a candid interview with Entertainment Tonight Leland opened up. “I’ve already noticed the difference,” he says of Beth no longer helping them hunt down people on the run. “We’ve only been out for one day. And you know I was thinking to myself, man, if Beth was here, she would be yelling, ‘Come on, let’s go already,’ telling my dad, ‘Shut up, you talk too much. Let’s go.’ You know what I mean? … There’s definitely a different aspect around.”
“But you know, I think we’ll pull through,” he continues. “We’re a strong family and it’s terrible that we had to go through that, but like I said, I know our bond is strong and we work together, which makes it even stronger. And I believe that Beth ran such a tight ship and that it just became — when you do something over and over and over again and it’s just rhetorical, it just becomes natural, you know? And I think that it’s already instilled in all of us, and that’s why it works so well, is because of all the years of grinding on us. You know what I mean? Do this. Do that. You know? And now, you know, you got the finished product.”
Watch the video below for more of the ET exclusive with Duane, including why he hasn’t fulfilled his late wife’s final wishes.